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Magic Potioin Table probabilities

 
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mattwakeman



Joined: 20 May 2006
Posts: 231



PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2008 8:47 pm    Post subject: Magic Potioin Table probabilities Reply with quote

One of the things that I like most about Eball is the challenge dice. They are just such a great mechanic. I am working on some house rules (which are already becoming so bizarrely complex that I am struggling to see even me getting to grips with them) and want to use the two dice rolls from the potion table to simulate various things but I just can't get my head around some of the probabilities.

I know for example that the chances of rolling two X's are 1/6 x 1/6 = 1/36 but I have tried to work out the probabilities for all of results on page 11 and I just can't seem to get them to add up.

Any chance of some help here? Thanks in advance chaps.


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GalakStarscraper
The Big Man


Joined: 24 Nov 2005
Posts: 6176



PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2008 9:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Code:

X          X         1       2.8%
X          Blank     4      11.1%
X          Star      2       5.6%
X          Success   4      11.1%
Blank      Blank     4      11.1%
Blank      Star      4      11.1%
Blank      Success   8      22.2%
Star       Star      1       2.8%
Success    Star      4      11.1%
Success    Success   4      11.1%


Odds of Potion failing:  30.6%
Odds of Potion only healing:  22.2%
Odds of Potion healing and boosting the player: 47.2%


Last edited by GalakStarscraper on Thu May 01, 2008 9:10 pm; edited 2 times in total
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mattwakeman



Joined: 20 May 2006
Posts: 231



PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2008 9:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Tom you are a star mate! Much appreciated (now I just have to go and work out why I couldn't get it to add up...)


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